Following the completion of the 2012 London Olympics, I took a moment to think about the upcoming 2012-13 season. Every big fan does this. We love to think about the direction and development of our favorite franchises, the league’s most exciting players, and the dynamics that new player combinations might bring. While engaging in such thoughts, I came to realize that I believe the league is reaching a great point.
This is not as a result of the NBA’s growth on a global level, its abundance of superstars, nor its rule changes, but due to its cyclic nature. In this cycle, there’s a continuous flow of older players filtering out, new talent trickling in, and new coaching schemes being implemented. But that new talent? That’s what’s really driving the league to good places.
These youngsters – they’re truly something special. Sure, many are humble and all that. But as basketball players, they’re sizable. Not only are there numerous good defenders, there are several great ones (how long has it been since we could say that)? And how about the ultra-talented, true big men? As per usual, we are also blessed with a nice mixture of playmakers, rebounders, and scorers.
I decided to take a look at these delightful young’uns – more specifically, the top 33 guys aged 24 and under – and break down what abilities and potential they have showcased thus far in the NBA.[+] Of course, this wouldn’t be Keeper of the Court content if it didn’t include some sort of ranking system, so, they’re all ranked by their projected value in the next three to five years.
Point Guards
Avery Bradley – 21 years old
Avery Bradley is a super-athletic defensive-minded two guard capable of shutting down two and sometimes three positions. Offensively, he doesn’t have as much upside as the others, but he still has good tools. He’s a good cutter and displays good shooting form that should eventually help him develop a consistent jumpshot from the depths of the hardwood. An improvement in passing would be nice to see. Potential: 27
Kyrie Irving / Ricky Rubio – 20 years / 21 years old
Rubio and Irving come together because they 1) have already been analyzed so much and 2) both put up equally dominant Rookie seasons, but in different ways. Rubio is a better passer and defender than Irving. Irving has superior shooting and scoring abilities in addition to great athleticism, which should help manifest him into a respectable defensive player over the years. Both of these players have very high basketball IQs and undoubtedly represent the future of the point guard position. Potential: 3
John Wall / Derrick Rose – 21 / 23 years old
Wall may not seem fit to be lumped together with Rose at this point, but potential wise, it’s a different story. This is a guy who’s got the short end of the stick – he was plopped onto an uninspired, undeveloped group of low-IQ individuals (the Washington Wizards). Rose wasn’t. Skill wise, Wall possesses great defensive instincts and passing abilities that Rose doesn’t have. I presume that post-injury Rose will still maintain dynamic scoring abilities that and a work ethic that Wall won’t have. Overall, these two gentleman remain as top five athletes (pulling for ya, Rose), and both being above average passers, shooters, and slashers. Their basketball IQ must develop more (Wall needs to stop pulling up in transition with 18 seconds on the shotclock and no one around to rebound, and they both need to be more careful with whom they’re passing to and when), but I presume they will. Potential: 5
Ty Lawson – 24 years old
Great fast break player? Absolutely. Good at driving left and getting into the lane? Definitely. Good jumpshooter? Sure. Able passer? His A:R ratio suggests so. Good defensively? Despite his size, quite reliable. Reliant on athleticism, putting a question mark on the potential of his late career? Also yes. In the right setting, Lawson can be a clear danger to other teams; the catalyst of his team’s relentless nature, but, he can also be rather mediocre if in the wrong setting. Potential: 20 (A)
Russell Westbrook – 23 years old
One of the most athletic, explosive players the league has ever seen. Westbrook offers more things suited for a shooting guard than a point guard – specifically dynamic scoring ability – but this man has developed into a very well-rounded weapon for the Thunder. As a defender, although he sometimes gambles too much, Westbrook applies great ball pressure on the ball handler. Offensively he acts as a serviceable three-point shooter, a great off-the-dribble shooter, and as a get-to-the-rim-whenever-I-damn-please threat. Though not great for a point guard, he’s an above average passer. His basketball IQ is what hurts him the most. Potential: 4
Brandon Jennings – 23 years old
More of a true point guard than most may realize. Jennings possesses every tool you’d want from a point guard other than height – a quick first step, an outside shot, a tendency to protect the ball, nice vision, good shooting mechanics, lateral quickness/great athleticism, and defensive ability. What he needs to work on is his efficiency and his commitment to defense, but, here’s a man with a great future. Potential: 12
Tyreke Evans – 22 years old
Evans is an interesting case. He was the only player other than Michael Jordan and Lebron James to put up a 20-5-5 statline during his rookie year. However, during that first year of his, his environment was ideal – he was allowed to be as ball-dominant as he wanted, and no one minded him taking shots first and facilitating second. However, with the addition of players such as Jimmer Freddette, Isaiah Thomas, the growth of Cousins – and his foot injury, of course – things haven’t gone so smoothly since. Evans doesn’t embody a player of any consistency thus far, but he does remain as an exceptional ballhandler in a big, strong body with a knack for getting to the hoop. He’s a decent passer, and has great lateral movement on defense with decent fundamentals and a nice knack for nabbing steals. Potential: 15
Jeremy Lin – 23 years old
The great: Founder of Linsanity. The good: Awesome at operating in the pick-and-roll, and possesses a very good eye for his teammates’ positioning. He’s deceptively quick (fastest in Knick tryout history), and has great ball handling, contrary to what his TO averages suggest. He possesses a good jumpshot with decent range. He grabs steals at a high rate. The bad: Lin is turnover prone, both in lack of awareness of the defense’s positioning and in carelessness with the ball. He also needs to get a better grasp of defensive fundamentals. Potential: 18 (B)
Stephen Curry – 24 years old
When conducting an all-time draft with friends, I drafted Curry to be in my starting five. Ask me if I have confidence in the guy. But I’ll have you know that he wasn’t there for his lateral movement on defense, or his true point guard skills. I did have him there for his otherwordly shooting (career 44.1% 3 point shooter), his ability to possess the ball and create when asked, and his crafty/hesitation-ridden offense that allows him to score at a nice clip. I hope his Fischer Price ankle gives him a break in the future, because this last season was hard to sit through. Potential: 19
Shooting Guards
James Harden – 22 years old
James Harden is bad at missing. His Finals performance left me a bit dumbfounded, simply because his usually great efficiency (66% TS in 2011-12) – and the fact that his misses all seemed to be about a half-inch off at most – support this idea of mine that he’s just an assassin. All in all, Harden’s a peculiar fellow – the beard, the incredibly long arms that hide themselves, the intriguing demeanor. His game follows suit – he’s not who’d you’d expect to be an awesome ball player, but he’s great at both creating and finishing with contact, great at shooting, good at passing, and good at defense. Harden may not be cut out for being a great number one option, but he has the chance to go down as one of the elite perimeter players of his era. Potential: 10
Eric Gordon – 23 years old
Let’s take a brief moment to review this guy’s physical attributes: Draftexpress.com has Gordon listed at 6’2” with a 6’9” reach and weighing 222 pounds (wrecking ball). He bench presses 185 at least 15 times and boasts a 40-inch vertical. He runs the ¾ court sprint at a speed faster than Westbrook, Rose, and Lawson. He has the second fastest agility lane time I’ve ever seen during my time reviewing measurements. Now, when you see him on the court, his athleticism doesn’t stand out as much as you’d think. However, it’s clear we’re undderating him as an athlete. But ever since the Chris Paul trade? Overrating him as a player. He’s a good scorer, finisher, and has extended range on his jumpshot. A nice bonus is his unrelenting defense. However, we need to have problems with the fact that he’s a below-average rebounder and passer, both of which you need to be decent at to become an elite shooting guard in this league. Potential: 18 (B)
Evan Turner – 23 years old
May end up being the best rebounding shooting guard of his era. Puts forth much defensive effort and possesses great fundamentals on that end. Decent playmaker. Not the most athletic, and Collins doesn’t trust the idea of letting him dominate the ball yet, but if he can develop some range on his jumper, Turner can end up being a great all-around guard. Potential: 20 (B)
Marshon Brooks – 23 years old
The good: Confidence, smoothness, scoring ability, length, and defense activity. Good rebounder when inspired. The bad: Probably won’t become an elite all-around player, as he puts more effort into the only elite part of his game which is scoring the basketball; hasn’t displayed much ability to find and create for his teammates. Semi-reliant on the left-to right spin, which defenders may adjust to. Potential: 22
Small Forwards
Paul George – 22 years old
George played shooting guard in his earliest of days, but his unique body-sprouting ability suddenly pushed him up to a healthy 6’10”(Shaq had the modified horizontal version of this). George embodies a player with good all-around potential. He’s already a great defender, given his lateral quickness and long arms. He’s very athletic and a serious threat in transition, and also acts a steady 3-point threat. He’s never going to be very ball-dominant or a great ball-handler, but his passing seems to have made progress since his first season. Potential: 17
Kevin Durant – 23 years old
Will go down as both an all-time scorer and an all-time shooter. Completely dismantled team after team in the 2012 Olympics with catch-and-shooting alone. Incredible scorer and one of the league’s best athletes. He has great length which allows for good rebounding ability and a nice defensive presence. Not the best passer (expect improvement here) or one-one-one defender, quite turnover prone, and not 7’0” – or even close, like everyone keeps saying – but Kevin Durant is truly one of the league’s most elite despite his supreme youthfulness. Potential: 1
Kawhi Leonard – 21 years old
I don’t hesitate to call Kawhi my favorite player on this list. He was one of the highest IQ players (not to mention, one of the best) on the San Antonio Spurs last season – a highly-monitored, super-intelligent team-oriented basketball club. He was also born in 1991. Yes, now you’re starting to realize how awesome this guy is. He has hands the size of bird-eating tarantulas. While athletic, he’s nowhere near the most athletic at his position nor amongst other youngsters (32 inch vertical), yet he gets to the rim and grabs rebounds with the best of them. Kawhi embodies a player with a great all-around game, with defense coming first, passing coming second, and situational scoring coming third. He’s not going to take over games with scoring, but he’s going to greatly impact the game in many ways. Potential: 8
Chandler Parsons – 23 years old
I like to think of Chandler Parsons as a poor man’s Larry Bird in the making. He’s not extremely athletic, but he has great size (a near 6’10 SF), possesses a high basketball IQ, superior coordination, good rebounding instincts, and nice playmaking abilities. Though he’s efficient, he’ll never quite the scorer one would hope for; however, his defense is already above average. Lastly, Parson’s shot needs improvement – he currently isn’t much of a threat from outside. Rank Potential: 23
Gordan Hayward – 22 years old
This nice boy is already a solid shooter, a smart playmaker, unselfish, and a decent defender. He’s not the most athletic, but has good size and determination to make up for his shortcomings (thinking defensively, here). More rebounding is desired at this point. Potential: 16
Nicholas Batum – 23 years old
I tend to forget about Batum, and part of it is likely due to his playstyle. He’ll play within the offense, periodically running off screens and spotting up from 3 land (converts here at a very high rate). Batum has a bit to work on if he’s to become a decent rebounder (timing and motivation), and his complete lack of a back-to-the-basket game also leaves something to be desired. But with his defensive ability, unselfish nature, great athleticism, high IQ, and stellar shooting, he makes the list. Potential: 26 (B)
Danilo Gallinari – 24 years old

I remember…
Gallinari is just extremely solid. He’ll never be the best at anything but he possesses absolutely everything you want from your perimeter player – great size, nice scoring, great mechanics, stellar fundamentals on both ends, good passing, even (many would point to his early assist numbers but he just wasn’t asked to create much in Denver and took on the primary role of a scorer). He has the tendency to get outmuscled on the defensive end and on the glass, but these things do not equate to large holes. Potential: 13
Power Forwards
Blake Griffin – 23 years old
Incredible athleticism. Great rebounding instincts and drive. Great transition player. Mediocre post player. Streaky, unreliable jumpshot. Poor defensive player (which should change). Hard worker. I’m afraid if I say more, bad things will happen. Potential: 9
Kevin Love – 23 years old
No one could have predicted that Love would be the player that he is by now. Love is already a great second option on any team, the best true rebounder in this league, a high IQ player, and a great shooter. How many times has the league’s best rebounder won the three point competition? Love needs to improve his defense; he doesn’t have great lateral movement or ball-stopping ability, although, he is starting to probe with his hands a little bit more. If he develops further develops this alongside a more solid post game, he has a chance to become a top 3 player in the league. Sidenote: Against the Kings early on in the 2011-12 season, Minnesota’s commentator pointed out that the Timberwolves were 3-27 during games wihout Kevin Love. Now that’s value. Potential: 2
Kenneth Faried – 22 years old
I like to think of Faried as a smaller version of Varejao with more athleticism. Faried will grab all the loose balls, set screens, cut sharply, and rebound ferociously. He understands how to stick to his game and score opportunistically. His two weak points: 1) he hasn’t developed a jumpshot yet and 2) though he gets some steals and blocks, at this point, his defensive positioning and instincts leave much to be desired. Potential: 18
Serge Ibaka – 22 years old
Not on my watch. How many times would we have to hear that if Mark Jackson still covered Thunder games over the next 5 years? With great athleticism in a big body and a knack for timing jumps well, Ibaka will likely retire as one of the best shotblockers the game has ever seen. He will also likely retire as the worst shooter ever to hit 10 jumpers in a row in a pivotal ECF game. Ibaka possesses a decent jumpshot for a big man, but with essentially no go-to move in the post, he’s quite average offensively. Though overrated defensively (his man-to-man defense is only average, and he falls for pump fakes every time) his great shotblocking and desirable rebounding tags him for a rarity in today’s league. Potential: 21
Derrick Williams – 21 years old
The good: Derrick Williams seems to know his strengths – of which, are, post-ups, cuts, and rolling off of picks. He displays solid fundamentals on both ends. The bad: Williams tries to do too much at times. His jumpshot isn’t great. His limited size moved him down from a solid four in college to a three/four in the NBA, and he’s yet to exhibit the ability to guard the quicker perimeter players. Potential: 19
Derrick Favors – 21 years old
With Favors, one word comes to mind: solid. He’s got a strong body. Great rebounder. Fundamentally sound on both ends. Good shooting touch. Favors isn’t completely comfortable yet, especially when relied upon to create, but he has all the tools to be a great player down the line. Potential: 14
Centers
DeMarcus Cousins – 22 years old
The good: Nice shooting touch, especially for a man of his size. Very strong. Desirable rebounding instincts. Great length. Able to both drive and post-up as well as shoot the jumper. The bad: Tendency to get frustrated and foul. Inefficient scorer at this point. Not a great defender. Horrible attitude, which in two short years, has already creating problems amongst teammates and coaching staff. Potential: 11
Greg Monroe – 22 years old
Monroe has good footwork and size with a soft touch for a big man. A huge bonus is his passing ability, too. What I want to see from him is better effort on defense and more rim protection, and despite his nice numbers, I want to see him go after the boards more (he has a tendency to not pursue). Here’s an up-and-coming center that will have several clubs drooling at the mouth very soon. Potential: 6
Andrew Bynum – 24 years old
You’re thinking it’s weird that Bynum is on the list and that’s he’s been in the league so many years. He’s only 24, and yet, we know all about his nice offensive arsenal, great length, good rebounding, nice fundamentals, defensive ability … and his childish antics. You’d hope for better passing ability and comfort in ball-handling, but still, Bynum has the tools to become the best center in the league. That is if his attitude and thus-far uncooperative body allow him to become so. Potential: 7
Javale McGee – 24 years old
Limited IQ elderly ninja-prancers make these lists? Yes, yes they do. Despite his odd affinity for back hunching and tiptoeing around with his giant frame, McGee possesses physical tools that few people in the world do. He’s very tall with an extremely long reach, a high vertical jump, and good agility. He’s also displayed the ability to perform jump hooks, rebound and block shots at an alarming rate, and put together some nice moves in the post. What he doesn’t have is the basketball IQ, reliable post defense, or any sort of consistency yet. Potential: 24
Enes Kanter – 20 years old
This is my most risky pick; this is based on projection and a bit of hope more than it is based on what output we’ve seen at an NBA level. He gets my pick because, as a big man, he’s got all the great physical traits alongside a nice feel for the game. What works against him is 1) his passing and 2) his post defense and rim protection, although he does have nice lateral movement and activity. His offensive rebounding, nice shooting touch, and desire to impact the game may swayed me. Potential: 28
Review
1. Kevin Durant
2. Kevin Love
3. Kyrie Irving / Ricky Rubio
4. Russell Westbrook
5. John Wall / Derrick Rose
6. Greg Monroe
7. Andrew Bynum
8. Kawhi Leonard
9. Blake Griffin
10. James Harden
11. DeMarcus Cousins
12. Brandon Jennings
13. Danilo Gallinari
14. Derrick Favors
15. Tyreke Evans
16. Gordon Hayward
17. Paul George
18. Eric Gordon (A)
18. Jeremy Lin (B)
19. Stephen Curry
20. Ty Lawson (A)
20. Evan Turner (B)
21. Serge Ibaka
22. Marshon Brooks
23. Chandler Parsons
24. Javale McGee
25. Derrick Williams
26. Kenneth Faried (A)
26. Nicolas Batum (B)
27. Avery Bradley
28. Enes Kanter
Just missed the cut: Michael Beasley, Isaiah Thomas, J.J. Hickson, Iman Shumpert, Thaddeus Young, and Klay Thompson.